The empires of the future are the empires of the mind.
6
OIL: A WASTING ASSET
The key to the fate of Russia is the fate of Russian oil.
Amazingly, reassuringly, suspiciously, Russia had followed its new Constitution. Putin, as prime minister, had automatically replaced President Yeltsin when he stepped down. Putin was then elected president in the elections the Constitution mandated take place within three months.
And so, on May 7, 2000, in the gilded and blue-silk moiré splendor of the Kremlin’s St. Andrew Hall, once the throne room of the tsars, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, his hand on the Constitution, took the presidential oath of office, which in its entirety ran: “I vow, in the performance of my powers as the President of the Russian Federation, to respect and protect the rights and freedoms of man and citizen, to observe and protect the Constitution of the Russian Federation, to protect the sovereignty and independence, security and integrity of the state and to serve the people faithfully.”
Putin was open about his statist views from the start. The “rights and freedoms of man and citizen” had less timbre for him than the “security and integrity of the state.”
In
Though there were some liberal economists in Putin’s inner circle, like Alexei Kudrin, who served as minister of finance from 2000 to 2011, most, some estimates range as high as 40 percent, were security types, preferably ex–Leningrad KGB. One colleague from Dresden, Sergei Chemezov, would head up Russia’s weapons export. This was not only loyalty, but calculation—Putin knew these types, how to read them, how to use them.
Three moves he made in the summer of 2000 should have been enough to indicate his bent and dispel some of the hopeful haze around his election. In July he summoned the oligarchs to the Kremlin and laid down the law: You can keep your money, but pay your taxes and keep your nose out of politics. Subsequent events would reveal that not everyone got the message.
The second move was one he did not make—not quickly returning from vacation in Sochi to deal with the crisis of the Russian nuclear-powered attack submarine
Yeltsin’s election in 1996 and Putin’s own election in April 2000 had convinced him of the power of television, a lesson that was only negatively reinforced by the poor coverage he received during the
Soon enough the conversation grew emotional, ranging from self-pity to rage, with Putin asking: “Why are you attacking me? Have I done anything to hurt you?”
“Volodya, you made a mistake when you stayed in Sochi. Every station in the world…”
“I don’t give a fuck about every station in the world,” interrupted Putin. “Why did
By the end of the year, rightly fearing prison, Berezovsky left Russia, never to return. Living in England, he would expend considerable energy trying to prove that the three explosions of apartment buildings in late 1999 that were blamed on Chechens were in fact a secret police operation designed to create an atmosphere of alarm and help the tough-talking Putin get elected. That Putin’s reign began under the shadow of deceit and homicide has not yet been proved, nor will it likely ever be.